Weather Forecasting - The Wrong Way
Weather forecasting is a tricky job. The experts and meteorologists know it. That the forecasting is statistical interpretations of observations made using various parameters is not appreciated by the common man. The poor experts, as a result, sometimes become the subject of public ridicule whenever the margin of error for their forecasts widens to a yawning gap.
Be that as it may, forecasting monsoon - its timing and accuracy is also a highly politically sensitive issue in India. Cautioning or warning the masses about impending drought conditions can trigger chain reactions. Hoarding of foodstuffs may take place, prices may rise causing inflationary pressures on the growth of the economy and share market prices may nosedive. So the politicians particularly those in power do not want such unsavoury news to disturb the status quo. The latest forecast on the monsoon by the Indian Meteorological Department reported in The Times of India was apparently subjected to such extraneous considerations.
Politics is deeply embedded in our minds. Be it education, sports, entertainment, scientific research or anything under the sun, the blessings of the omnipotent and omnipresent politicians are necessary for making progress. The rain gods and nature, however, do not play second fiddle to anyone. So hold your breath till dark monsoon clouds gather in the sky .